"If the PP takes control of the Valencian Community, it almost has a foot and a half in Moncloa", but "if Ximo Puig remains", he may have left. The political consultant and member of the Advisory Council of the Godó Group, Iván Redondo, believes that the future of the general elections can begin to be written in the regional and municipal elections next May, but these elections "are not a first round of the generals". The future of the next government presidency is written in the Mediterranean because the national board can be extrapolated from there, with PSOE and PP almost tied and Podemos that may be on the brink of getting representation. If he succeeds, Puig could repeat the Botànic pact.
According to Redondo, the left has a national debate from which it has to get out as soon as possible, in reference to the possibility of a unity pact around the Sumar platform, by Yolanda Díaz. In fact, he is optimistic and is convinced that after 28-M they will agree. But in the Valencian Community, the sum of PSOE and Compromís is practically equal to that of PP and Vox, and Podemos is on the threshold of entering or not entering the Corts Valencianes, so that "if he does not succeed, Ximo Puig loses the Executive".
What happens in Madrid is also important to determine if Isabel Díaz Ayuso achieves the absolute majority she longs for. "If Podemos does not obtain 5% of the votes, it is almost certain that Ayuso will have an absolute majority," Redondo warns.
These two examples show how important it is to "be third" for what can happen in the general elections at the end of the year. And that is where the Add factor comes in, with the Podemos variable. "In Spain there are 28 provinces with less than 6 deputies", so "to be third you have to be strong in the rural world." In conclusion, "if Sumar goes with a motor, Podemos would already be third" and this would tip the balance towards Pedro Sánchez in the generals.
The former director of the Cabinet of the Presidency of the Government (2018-2021), political consultant, CEO of Redondo
In the case of the PSOE, Redondo believes that "if Sánchez wants to win the elections against Feijóo, it cannot appear that he is leading Sumar's campaign." In fact, the consultant believes that the President of the Government "has realized this" that Sumar has to have his space, "with Podemos motor", he has insisted, and has swerved, putting distance and simply indicating that he wants "fit the pieces of the puzzle". In addition, the PSOE is playing this 28-M the "symbolic battles" -Seville, Madrid, Valencia and Barcelona- "battle that will say things about the battle for Moncloa" and to succeed, the PSOE must bet on "classic socialism" and not for the "mahogany".
As for the PP, Redondo believes that before the May elections it has realized that it may not win and, in any case, that it could only govern with Vox, which is why "Feijóo has lowered expectations." In any case, the consultant considers that the leader of the PP has reaped a "remarkable high" in his first year at the helm of the party. "He has managed to get the PP, without a leader, to be in the best results of Mariano Rajoy", but he has a handicap, that "the pacts with Vox are the reality and the government alone can only be given in Andalusia.
In the case of Yolanda Díaz and Podemos, Redondo believes that in the end they will agree because Podemos has shown that "he is brave, that he is alive, and that the operation to kill Podemos does not work, that the idea has failed." The expectations for Yolanda Díaz are high for the consultant because in the next May elections she "is presenting herself in Madrid, Valencia and Barcelona and" who says that she cannot be the first president of Spain? "She has questioned.
Redondo has also talked about Barcelona, where he insists on seeing the PSC candidate, Jaume Collboni, as a favourite. Although the polls are close and the Trias factor has moved the board, Collboni "has the best car" and is "the one who has the ability to put together the pacts to be mayor." The consultant considers that everything is very close, that ERC is recovering some ground and Trias and Colau "feed back", but "the interesting thing will be to see which two are going to remain, and the campaign will decide it", he assured.
The forum included the intervention of Ramon Rovira, journalist, deputy to the presidency and director of Institutional Relations of the Godó Group; Carles Castro, journalist and political analyst for La Vanguardia, and Marc Martínez Amat, head of politics for RAC1. The event was attended by Javier Godó, Count of Godó and editor of La Vanguardia; the CEO of the Godó Group, Carlos Godó; the director of Libros de Vanguardia and Vanguardia Dossier, Ana Godó; Jordi Juan, director of La Vanguardia, Jaume Peral, director of RAC1; the directors of the Godó Group Ramón Forn, Manuel Garí and Enrique Lacalle.
It also had the presence of authorities and personalities from business and politics such as Juan Antonio Samaranch, vice president of the IOC; Josep Creuheras, president of Grupo Planeta; Josep Oliu, president of Banco Sabadell; Antoni Cañete, president of Pimec; Luis Hernández de Cabanyes, president of Renta Corporación; Amancio López, president of Hotusa; Francisco Gaudier, president of the Liceo Circle; Joaquim Gay de Montellà, president of Stram; Roger Pallarols, director of the Barcelona Restoration Guild; and Josep Jordi Cambra, president of the Real Club de Tenis Barcelona. Congressional deputies like Gabriel Rufián (ERC) also attended; and the Parliament, such as the second vice-president of the institution, Assumpta Escarp (PSC), David Cid (En Comú Podem), and the Complaints Ombudsman, Esther Giménez-Salinas.
