Why is the US now banning the export of advanced chips to China?
Because that technology is going to determine who dominates Asia and the world. And that's what matters.
Can some chips or others change the current balance of power that much?
For the last 75 years, the US has decided how large Asian countries were governed. To achieve this, it maintains close military alliances with Japan, Korea and the Philippines. So until now China has not been able to impose its interests in the region...
Why does China have to impose them precisely now?
Because it has increased its economic and military power and it is natural that it wants to dominate Asia, starting by controlling Taiwan, because it already controls the China Sea.
Why does China have to want to impose its military power with how expensive it is?
Your impression that China does not aspire to exercise military dominance and that it has not historically been imperialist is false.
China was also once colonized by Japan and European powers.
If you look at the history of Korea, Japan, Mongolia or Vietnam, you will see that China has been their aggressor and has also had wars with the Soviet Union and India...
His recent invasion of Tibet is left behind.
And the natural thing is that if China becomes the most powerful country in the region, it will want to redraw the map in its favor to neutralize the influence of the United States.
Why must economic power necessarily lead to military dominance?
Because that's what the great powers have always done...
Why don't Japan, Germany or France do it now? Will India do it?
It is not possible to explain the enormous increase in Chinese military power and the huge investment it has made in it over the last few decades without being convinced that China believes that without military power there is no national sovereignty. Other countries in the area have prospered enormously without investing in arming themselves.
What if China only applies the “Si vis pacem, para bellum (if you want peace, prepare for war)”?
China is not investing just out of caution: it has made this enormous military investment because it is convinced that it will need it in the future.
You are convinced, of course.
As China continues to grow, its geopolitical ambition will also grow and it is normal for this to be the case: the more economic power you have, the more territorial ambition you have as well.
Don't you think that the EU proves the opposite and that NATO is another example?
The West is an exception that confirms the rule, in effect, because it has increased its economic power in the last 75 years without wanting to increase its territories.
Why would China want to dominate Asia?
China has begun to use its power productively, but now it is beginning to behave like Japan in the 1930s: it is threatening its neighbors...
Why chips are the key?
Because the US has less military force than China deployed around Taiwan, so its only chance of not being defeated there is to have more powerful chips. And if China conquers Taiwan, we will be left without the manufacturers of 90% of the world's chips.
The EU does not see it the way you do.
President Macron recently said that Taiwan was not his problem, but he is wrong, because the most advanced European industries already depend on the Asian technology sector with China and Taiwan.
Do you think we can do something?
Don't be so naive. Realize that China wants you dependent on your cell phones, cars, computers... That is why China enjoys a huge trade surplus compared to you Europeans.
We also sell to them.
A lot less. European cars no longer sell the same in China as they did ten years ago.
Competition is the mother of science: we need to compete with China.
But China does not want to compete without an advantage: notice how the more cars China sells them, the less they accept the EU selling them. That is their program: export more and import less. And don't expect it to change policy, as it shows in high-speed trains, chemistry, pharmacy and raw materials... They copy your innovations to resell them to you cheaper later.
Didn't the Japanese, Koreans and, in general, Asians copy us before?
But China transforms the benefits of copying us into military power to defeat us.
Doesn't China invest in factories and generate jobs in Spain and the EU? There are several here.
Don't believe those promises to invest.
Biden affirms that today China is in a serious post-pandemic economic crisis.
China has slowed its pace, but that only means that from growing at 16% it is now growing at 4%...More than any European country.
