The CIS predicts a vibrant pulse in the general elections with PP and PSOE tied

The swords are high in Spanish politics and there is no clear winner, according to the February barometer of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), which predicts a tie between the two major parties: the PP recovers one point compared to the survey of a month ago and would obtain 33.

Oliver Thansan
Oliver Thansan
11 February 2024 Sunday 15:21
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The CIS predicts a vibrant pulse in the general elections with PP and PSOE tied

The swords are high in Spanish politics and there is no clear winner, according to the February barometer of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), which predicts a tie between the two major parties: the PP recovers one point compared to the survey of a month ago and would obtain 33.2% of the votes, while the PSOE moderates downwards the result of the previous CIS poll, which gave it victory with 34%, which now lowers one point, leaving it in the 33%.

The survey, which does not allocate seats, awards 10.2% of the votes to Sumar, which is consolidating itself as the third force, while Vox continues to decline and now registers 7.9%. The fifth force is Podemos, which moderates its fall from the previous survey and would now obtain 2.9%.

As for the rest of the formations, ERC is the one that benefits the most compared to the previous results, since it achieves a spectacular recovery and from 1.4% in voting intention it goes to 2.1% and is once again ahead of Junts. The post-convergents, the formation that is delaying the approval of the amnesty law in Congress, suffer a loss of confidence from the Catalan electorate, and remain at 1%, which in this case is half a point lower than just before. one month. The PNV also obtains 1%, which recovers positions compared to Bildu, which would now obtain 0.8%.

At this moment, in the midst of the debate on the amnesty law, what the February barometer promises is a vibrant battle between Pedro Sánchez and Alberto Núñez Feijóo. The President of the Government continues to be the favorite of those surveyed to continue in Moncloa, however he suffers a clear setback compared to the survey from a month ago, when he had just formed a government. Sánchez was the first option for 30.4% in January and now 25.6% think so. The president of the PP and leader of the opposition remains the second option to preside over the Government, but his results slightly improve: from 16.5% in January to the current 17.2%.

In consistency, Sánchez also sees his rating lowered, in a group in which no one gets the pass. The President of the Government, who a month ago had a score of 4.42 out of 10, now remains at 4.25. Feijóo closes the gap on him a little and goes from 4.16 in January to 4.18. And they are both surpassed by the second vice president and leader of Sumar, Yolanda Díaz, with a 4.27 out of 10, despite the fact that she lowers her grade from a month ago, which was 4.4. Another indicator is the level of confidence, which is also decreasing in the case of the socialist leader: 68.5% say that he inspires little or no confidence in them. Feijóo also gets a worse result there, since in his case it is 72.4%, although he drops one point compared to a month ago.

As in every monthly barometer, the CIS asks about the biggest concerns of Spaniards. Economic problems come in first place, cited by 27.4%, followed by "political problems in general" and unemployment, both with 22.3%.

Asked about the economic situation in Spain, less than a third of those surveyed (28.6%) described it as good or very good, compared to 59.2% who considered it bad or very bad.