The President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, would have recovered from the wear and tear of the negotiation and the first procedures of the Amnesty law and would have won the electoral victory, according to the January barometer of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS) released yesterday, from which it can be seen that the criminal forgetfulness law, which this Thursday goes through a new process in Congress, worries the Spanish people very little, despite the fact that the PP has made it its main battlehorse against the Executive.
According to the data offered by the survey by the organization directed by José Félix Tezanos – based on 4,016 interviews carried out between January 2 and 5, that is, shortly after the government mini-crisis to replace Nadia Calviño –, only 2 .3% of those surveyed place the amnesty as one of the three main problems in Spain, which is also 1.1 points less than what the December barometer showed. And the amnesty has gone from position 20 then to position 24 on the list of concerns of the Spanish people. When respondents are asked about the problems that affect them personally, only 0.9% spontaneously place this issue among the top three, which causes concern to fall to 37th place, on a list headed by difficulties of economic nature, health and problems related to the quality of employment.
From this premise – the low level of concern about the amnesty – it can be understood that the respondents show their electoral preferences for the current president of the Government, who in this barometer manages to turn around the results of July 23 and all the polls. more or less recent. The demoscopic organization grants the PSOE 2.3 points more in vote estimates compared to 23-J, so it would receive the support of 34% of the electorate. On the contrary, the leader of the opposition and president of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, would lose almost one point compared to the last elections, he would keep 32% of the votes and lose first position.
Despite a new setback, largely due to the parliamentary split led by Podemos, Sumar would remain in third position with 9.7% of the estimated vote, 2.6 points below the election results and 2.1 points below what the CIS granted it in December, before the parliamentary group broke up. For their part, those of Ione Belarra would take 2.7% of the votes and their presence in the Chamber would be seriously compromised.
Vox, affected by serious internal tensions, would add two tenths more to its downward trend compared to the December barometer and would drop 4.1 points compared to the July results until obtaining 8.3% of support, so it would remain in fourth place.
Regarding the parties of strictly Catalan obedience, Junts seems to make more profit from its support for the Government than Esquerra, which does not benefit from governing the Generalitat as a minority. Thus, Carles Puigdemont's party would rise two tenths in vote estimate to 1.5% compared to December, although it would lose one tenth compared to the elections, while those of Oriol Junqueras would drop half a point and fall below their rival independence, up to 1.4%. Regarding the Basque obedience parties, which will soon face regional elections, EH Bildu (0.9%) would remain slightly ahead of the PNV (0.8%).
The survey is round for Sánchez's interests since, despite failing, he surpasses Yolanda Díaz – who used to head the list – as the best-rated leader with a score of 4.42, only two hundredths above the second vice president and leader of Sumar, who would lose four hundredths, enough for the knockout. The leader of the PP is third with a 4.16, while Santiago Abascal closes the ranking with a 2.64. Furthermore, the head of the Executive is preferred by 30.4% of voters as a tenant of the Moncloa, while only 16.5% favor the opposition leader.
Likewise, Sánchez improves in the confidence indices compared to the last barometer, while Feijóo falls. Thus, the general secretary of the PSOE enjoys the confidence of 34.7% of those surveyed, and the president of the PP is below, with 24.8. On the contrary, 73.5% of those surveyed claim to have little or no confidence in the Galician politician.
The Minister of Defense, Margarita Robles, appears as the highest rated member of the Executive, with a 5.3, and together with the head of Culture, Ernest Urtasun, with a 5, they are the only ones who approve. At the bottom of the list are the Minister of Transport, Óscar Puente, with a 4.23, and the Minister of the Interior, Fernando Grande-Marlaska, with a 4.14.
