The mahogany PSOE takes us back to 1977

The leadership of Pedro Sánchez is made up of small pieces without which it is impossible to explain the complete mural.

Oliver Thansan
Oliver Thansan
16 July 2023 Sunday 11:08
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The mahogany PSOE takes us back to 1977

The leadership of Pedro Sánchez is made up of small pieces without which it is impossible to explain the complete mural. A jigsaw puzzle of comings and goings, of successes and failures, with eras delimited with a scalpel: that of the surprising victories with pieces that fit into the puzzle with a Ferrari red PSOE, perestroiko, and that of the resounding defeats of a PSOE mahogany that does not enter the puzzle or hammered. Under enormous pressure for two years of mistakes, the president decided on an "all or nothing" electoral advance, without analyzing the 28-M. The 23-J was born with an unprecedented strategy in political science: no meetings at all, only media, asking for six face-to-face meetings, one per week and with Sánchez acting as an unusual interviewer for ministers in Ferraz. more pressure

What happened to the only face to face? Why did Alberto Núñez Feijóo look like Alí? Sánchez lost in the preliminary debate. And, beyond the errors of strategy and political technique, he lacked emotional preparation. Politics is always a state of mind and the psychological factor is the most determining factor in any strategy. If you are the president's sparring partner, you have to attend to emotions as the number one priority. Rafa Nadal is not number one just because of his tennis. It is because of his head, because of his mental strength. The president dissolved in the first block, the economic one. There he set the frame and lost his presidential role. Feijóo, shrewd, rocky and carrying the rhythm, not only transformed him into the aspirant but, like in the fights on ice hockey, he lifted his shirt and turned an attack in the wake of the Galician savings banks in a counterattack in which Sánchez, suddenly, was once again "counselor of Caja Madrid", and threw away his image as a councilor from 14 years ago. The president was out of place.

It was like Miguel Induráin in the failed hour record in Colombia. The four days of preparation for the debate were the same reckless exercise in managing expectations that the Navarrese suffered. Already on the tele's bike it was late, they both landed on their backs and soon realized their defeat. It showed on his face. At kilometer six the festival of the hour faded in Bogota. In Atresmedia Sánchez fell in the sixth minute.

Look, the Valencian Community has always anticipated the results in Spain. And to win it is to have a foot and a half in Moncloa. You need to understand the processes. He met with Rita Barberá in 1991 when he won the mayoralty, lost the elections and then with the right-wing Generalitat in 1995, in a coalition like today. For Valencians, it is déjà vu. The PSOE did not know how to read their defeat then and 20 years later it was Mónica Oltra's perestroika that returned them to power. After her, the re-election of the Botanic was achieved by a great Ximo Puig with engine Sánchez, thanks to synchronizing the 28-A of 2019 his elections with those of the president, which Susana Díaz did not do in Andalusia. Is it like that. Valencia is today the best national thermometer of the 23-J: PSOE- PSPV collapsed, Sumar without momentum, Vox resisting and the PP at its best.

What is this moment? The mahogany PSOE returns us to the mirror of 1977. On Sunday we will experience a scenario of maximizing the Loreg and refoundation elections. With a PP that has already restored at least the José María Aznar quadrant of 1996 (156 deputies) and that launched towards more than 160 like the UCD of Adolfo Suárez in 1977 (165); next to him, a PSOE that wants to consolidate "the Rubalcaba moment (110), still far from Felipe González defeated in 1977 with 118 deputies; Vox does, even if it doesn't want to, from a strengthened AP (28 seats against 16), and Sumar, from Santiago Carrillo's communists (20 deputies). Summing up today with 24 deputies will be far from the sum of its parts: 38. It moves in seats in the "space 30", which means the day after a debate on its dissolution, or the "space 20", which is directly a file of execution. It is also like that.

The coalition was not taken care of, nor the partners, and this is paid for. The mahogany didn't know how to defend her because they started from her denial. Comparing 23-J with 2019 is a new technical error. Mahogany: it is said of a brown PSOE that the more light touches it, the darker it becomes. His legacy of these two years will be a long journey through time. The political consequences take us back to 1977, because restoration is back.