Feijóo relies on the Andalusian effect to rule alone

As the campaign progresses, Alberto Núñez Feijóo is clear: He wants to govern alone and believes he can achieve it.

Oliver Thansan
Oliver Thansan
15 July 2023 Saturday 11:06
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Feijóo relies on the Andalusian effect to rule alone

As the campaign progresses, Alberto Núñez Feijóo is clear: He wants to govern alone and believes he can achieve it. He relies on what he calls the Andalusia effect, that is, that PSOE voters vote for him to avoid having to govern with Vox, and that voters from Santiago Abascal's party do the same to guarantee change. In an informal conversation with the president of the PP, on his move from Logronyo to Pamplona, ​​Feijóo recalls that in the first week of the campaign in Andalusia no poll gave an absolute majority to Juanma Moreno, and only during the second did he begin to sense it.

It is not that the popular leader considers that he can obtain an absolute majority, but if a sufficient number of seats, which together with those of some parties such as the PNB and other smaller ones can make him reach 168. It is not an absolute majority , but he believes that it would be very difficult for Vox to explain not to abstain and prevent change, and also for the parties with which the PP wants to join.

To achieve this Andalusian effect, Feijóo talks about the absolute majority, without mentioning it. First in Vitoria, then in Logroño and then in Pamplona, ​​the president of the PP spoke of a majority "that allows me to govern alone". He does not speak of absolutes, but gives as an example the cases of the Government of La Rioja and the City Council of Logronyo, which the PP won by an absolute majority. He is aware, however, that "it is difficult, very difficult, extremely difficult, but not impossible", and he asks for the vote not only of socialist voters who, as Cuca Gamarra said, "do not understand Sanchism", but he also focused on the abstentionists. "Abstention is a vote for Sánchez to stay" and every vote cast for the PP, on the contrary, "is a vote for change".

The president of the PP does not want to talk about the votes he can get, although he gives a hint: more than 150 for sure. The popular ones consider that the PSOE is holding up well, because it is feeding on the possible electorate of Sumar, although it is true that they see the socialists less mobilized than in Andalusia.

Feijóo is not amused by Abascal's statements about the fact that the PP is getting the wrong enemy, and he does not understand that they say that he wants them to give him votes, when what the PP is asking is that they do not vote with Sanchism.

In other words, if the forecasts are fulfilled and he obtains a solid majority, even if it is not an absolute one, he is ready to go to an investiture to govern alone. It will do so as long as it gets more votes than the left combined. In other words, that an alternative government is not possible, and then he hopes that everyone will be portrayed. The leader of the PP is willing to talk to everyone, starting with the PSOE. He does not want to believe that it is impossible to talk to the socialists about this. He also believes that if the PSOE lost the elections, as has happened in other cases, Sánchez would leave the leadership of the party.