The apparent electoral disaster faced by the partners of the current coalition government does not fully correspond to the levels of approval that his political work has aroused over the last four years. It is true that more than 50% of those consulted by Ipsos fail their performance, but an appreciable 43% give it a pass. In addition, the percentage of disapproval is nourished by a merciless critical evaluation of voters of the center and right (with disapproval rates that exceed 90%), but also of a significant percentage (close to 30%) of former socialist voters.
Even so, a hypothetical government presided over by the popular Alberto Núñez Feijóo does not appear in the eyes of the Spanish as a better alternative. Up to 36% of those consulted consider that this Cabinet would have done "worse than the current one" and another 16%, "just as bad". On the contrary, 32% think that an Executive chaired by Feijóo would have done better and another 8% "just as well" as that of Pedro Sánchez. 58% of Socialist voters and almost 90% of Podemos voters believe that the popular leader would have done worse, while more than 70% of right-wing voters believe that he would have done better.
However, when delving into the reasons that explain the disapproval of the Government's work, a set of decisions and measures appear that should not be surprising. The list of electorally "toxic" issues is more than predictable: the parliamentary relationship with ERC or Bildu; the pardon of the leaders of the procés; the reform of the penal code to repeal the crime of sedition, or the law of only yes is yes.
What is relevant about this list is that the issue that would have had the most impact on the government's disapproval would be precisely the fiasco of the sexual freedom law. This issue is the one with the highest rate of disapproval (7.7), slightly ahead of the reform of the Penal Code on the crime of sedition or the parliamentary relationship with Esquerra and Bildu (7.6). Of course, the disapproval of the law of the only yes is yes is much more intense among conservative voters than among those on the left.
Thus, while more than 60% of the voters of the PP and almost 70% of those of Vox affirm that the sexual freedom law "has influenced them a lot" in their decision to disapprove of the Government, among PSOE voters that percentage falls 43% (and 23% among those of United We Can). And in the case of the reform of the crime of sedition, the percentages are similar among right-wing voters (close to 70% confess that it has greatly influenced them), but they grow among PSOE voters: up to 45% of voters Socialists who disapprove of the Government explain that this issue has greatly influenced them.
Now, and although it appears in fourth position among the issues that most influence the disapproval of the Government, the pardon of the leaders of the process registers striking figures. The first is that up to 55% (the highest rate among those who suspend the Government) indicate that this matter has influenced them a lot (compared to 51% in the case of the law on sexual freedom). And, in parallel, almost half of the PSOE voters who disapprove of the Executive say that this matter has greatly influenced them.
Finally, it is striking that in a context of economic growth and job creation, the management of the economy appears as the second most relevant reason among those who suspend the Government. It is true that only 41% affirm that this issue has influenced them a lot, but if those consulted who indicate that it has influenced them a lot are also included, then that percentage would be around 60% among PSOE voters who disapprove of the Executive or among those which are located to your left.
Some data can help to understand these appreciations. On the one hand, in the perception of the global economic situation, negative opinions dominate (55% compared to 34%). And on the other hand, although 65% admit that their personal economic situation is good, up to 20% of PSOE voters confess that it is "bad or very bad", a rate that reaches 33% among Vox voters.
