The CIS identifies an electoral reversal as a consequence of Pedro Sánchez's decision to begin a five-day reflection period that ended this Monday with the decision to continue as head of the Executive. The PSOE would win the elections by a wide margin of almost 10 points in voting intention (38.6% for the socialists compared to 29.2% for the PP of Alberto Núñez Feijóo).
The electoral scenario reflected by the CIS in this survey carried out expressly as a consequence of Sánchez's announcement last Wednesday shows a clear distance between socialists and popular in just a few weeks, since the barometer from last April, carried out with a much larger sample wider than the survey published today, giving a vote estimate of 33.5% to the PSOE and 32.% to the PP. Therefore, only one point of difference between both parties.
As for the rest of the parties, the differences with respect to the previous barometer are minimal. Vox remains the third force with a rise of one percentage point (from 10.1% to 11%), while Sumar suffers a fall (from 8.2% in April to 7.2% now) and Podemos also drops half a point (from 3.1% to 2.6%).
The electoral predictions in favor of the PSOE contrast with the majority opinion of those surveyed regarding what the president should have done this Monday, since 44.5% consider that he should have resigned or have called without delay a new appointment with the polls. .
This 44.5% also contrasts with the opinion of those who supported the continuity of the central Executive giving explanations for what happened, who represent 36.7%, and 11.7% of those who supported Sánchez submitting to a question trustworthy.
These data are the result of the question about what the President of the Government should have done this Monday after his five-day reflection period and the 44.5% is the product of adding those who have shown themselves in favor of Sánchez simply resigning ( 20.9%) and those who support the electoral call "as soon as possible" (23.6%).
In any case, the survey also shows a division of opinions among those surveyed when it comes to assessing support for the gesture and attitude of the president making his letter public last Wednesday, and when it comes to agreeing with him in what he stated in that letter. missive. In the first case, the gesture of making public his decision to begin a period of reflection on his continuity receives the support of 43.1%, while 44.6% do not support said gesture. On the other hand, 41.1% believe that the president is right in the complaint that he expressed in the letter and in his decision to reflect and 38.8% think that he is not right.
The trigger for this episode, the opening of a judicial investigation into the wife of the President of the Government, is also subject to citizen scrutiny in this survey. 30.5% believe that this judicial initiative "is justified", while 48.% believe that it is nothing more than "a way to mess with Pedro Sánchez and try to hurt him."
In this sense, 90.5% of those surveyed believe that there should be limits that should not be crossed when asked about the use of lies, insults and personal attacks in political debate, in the same way as the majority, 81. 4% believe that a reform of the situation of justice in Spain is necessary. And justice is sometimes influenced by political or economic powers, according to 82.6% of those surveyed.
The CIS decided last Friday to carry out a survey on the five-day reflection period that President Pedro Sánchez opened after the judicial investigation opened into his wife, Begoña Gómez, and the results were released three hours after the leader of the PSOE has announced its decision to continue.
This is a flash poll on the president's decision in the middle of the electoral period for the Catalan elections on May 12 and the European elections on June 9. The survey is based on 1,809 telephone interviews conducted last Friday, a sample that is slightly less than half that usually used for its monthly barometers.
