Pedro Sánchez is noticing the wear and tear associated with the negotiation of his investiture, according to the October barometer of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), which leaves the PSOE's advantage over the PP in voting intention at four tenths, when in the September survey it was almost two points.
According to the CIS, the Socialists would win an eventual general election with 32.6% (0.9% less than a month ago), while the PP would get 32.2% (half a point more than in September). However, thanks to the rise of Sumar (12.7%), which remains in third place, and the retreat of Vox (10.1%), the left-wing bloc would obtain 45.3%, compared to 42 .3% from the right, and would thus maintain the three-point advantage it showed in the survey a month ago.
The October barometer of the CIS, with 4,000 interviews conducted between the 2nd and the 6th, is the first with the president of the Spanish Government in office as a candidate for the investiture, and with the amnesty law, which the parties demand pro-independence in exchange for their support for Sánchez, as the center of the debate. The PP, despite the fact that Alberto Núñez Feijóo was unable to go ahead with his investiture in the last week of September, would have made a profit in electoral terms, according to the October CIS, the tough opposition it exerts on the PSOE with the amnesty - and with the independence referendum, which is not an element of the negotiation but which the right includes in its argument - as a battering ram for weeks.
The distance between Sánchez and Feijóo is not only reduced in voting intention, but also in the respondents' preferences as prime minister. Sánchez remains the favorite, with 29.2% of the supporters, in front of Feijóo, with 23.5%. However, the nine-point gap between the two in September has narrowed to less than six. The third is the leader of Sumar and second vice-president of the Government, Yolanda Díaz (9.1%), followed by the president of Vox, Santiago Abascal (4.5%).
Díaz, who since June 2021, when she burst into the polls after being appointed by Pablo Iglesias as his successor in the central government, has had the best assessment, and not only among her natural electorate, is now also suffering from a possible double wear On the one hand, she has been a true rival since the generals of 23-J, and on the other, she has been fully involved in the amnesty law, and even met in the European Parliament with former president Carles Puigdemont, and both factors may have influenced those who previously rated her well even if they did not vote for her electoral space.
As the CIS does every three months, the October barometer includes an assessment of the ministers, and Díaz, head of Labor, who in April was the second most highly rated after the Minister of Defense, Margarita Robles, and passed to be third in the barometer of July, after Nadia Calviño (Economy) advanced, now suspends, for the first time, with a 4.77.
The survey also asks about the concerns of Spaniards, who see the economic crisis as the main problem (37.3%), followed by "political problems in general" (30.9%) and unemployment (25.6%) .
In addition, the respondents consider that the economic situation in Spain is bad or very bad, for 61.7%, and good, for 28.4%. Another point is climate change, which worries eight out of ten, 78.8%, and not at all for 6.4%.
