The PSOE would be in a position to win the municipal elections with a six-point advantage in estimated votes over the PP, according to a macro-poll released this Friday by the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), which also predicts a socialist victory in a general election by 3.4 points, 0.6 points less than in the October barometer, just when Feijóo was going to agree on the renewal of the General Council of the Judiciary (CGPJ).
The body led by the socialist José Félix Tezanos has published a survey, carried out between October 11 and 26, based on 5,557 interviews in almost 1,500 municipalities in 50 provinces, with general vote estimate data -not by cities- to the municipal elections, when there are still seven months left for said elections, and for the general elections.
Specifically, the PSOE would get 32.8% of the votes in the municipal elections while the PP would get 26.8%. In the municipal elections of 2019, the Socialists achieved 29.6% of the votes, with which they would gain more than three points, while the popular ones who stayed at 22.6 in 2019 would obtain 4.6 more points.
In third position in percentage of the vote would be United We Can with 8.7% in estimated votes when in 2019 they barely achieved 1.6%. For its part, Vox, which in previous local elections won almost 3.6% of the vote, would now achieve up to 5.9%. Ciudadanos would be in fifth position with 2.3% of the votes, more than six points below 2019.
The demographic body also predicts a socialist victory in the general elections, although it lowers the advantage it gave it in the October barometer over the PP, which reached four points to 3.4, just when the popular leader, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, was about to agree with the PSOE the renewal of the Judiciary that has been four years with the mandate expired. The field work for the survey ended the day before Feijóo suspended the negotiations due to the government's intention to reform the crime of sedition.
Specifically, the PP would recover eight tenths compared to the October barometer to have a vote expectation of 29.5% while the PSOE rises two tenths to 32.9%. United We Can lose more than one integer compared to the previous poll while Vox would recover half.
However, in direct voting, there is a tie between the two major parties, as 22.9% of those surveyed give their support to Pedro Sánchez and 22.6% to Núñez Feijóo.
Ciudadanos would continue with its unstoppable fall and would remain with 2.1%, six tenths less than in October and below Esquerra in voting intention in the whole of Spain. Those of Junqueras are listed on the rise and would stand at 2.7%, 0.6 points above the previous survey. For its part, Junts would rise two tenths to 1.7%.
