The PSC would win the general elections in Catalonia with an advantage of four seats over the following forces, ERC and Junts, which would both obtain 9 deputies. According to the TV3 and Catalunya Radio poll, the Socialists, led by Mertitxell Batet, would obtain 13 deputies for Congress with 22.7% of the votes, while ERC, the first force in 2019, would lose four seats compared to the last generals.
According to the same poll, the two main pro-independence forces, Junts and ERC, would tie for nine seats. Míriam Nogueras's party would thus add two more seats than in 2019 and would equal the result of the Republicans in deputies. In terms of votes, ERC would be the second political force in Catalonia despite the fact that it would lose more than 2% of the votes, falling four points behind the Socialists.
The other headline in the poll is the result of the PP, which could reach the two pro-independence parties and also reach 9 seats. In fact, Nacho Martín Blanco's party would surpass Junts in votes (16.8%) and thus multiply its result in 2019 seats by four. The poll gives Vox a range of between 1 and 2 deputies, so it could lose one of the two seats it won in 2019.
The formation headed by Aina Vidal, Sumar-ECP, would lose 1 deputy -it would have 6- compared to the last elections with 13.6% of the votes. The CUP would not improve its results either and would obtain a single seat, while the PDECat-Espai Ciu candidacy led by Roger Montañola would not obtain representation in Congress.
By provinces, the poll gives the PSC a victory in three of them, Barcelona, Lleida and Tarragona, while Junts would achieve a victory in Girona. ERC would not win, in this way, in any of the four provinces, losing deputies in all of them except Tarragona, which would maintain the 2 they obtained in 2019.
