The mistake of underestimating Sánchez

The PSOE is in a hurry.

Oliver Thansan
Oliver Thansan
03 October 2023 Tuesday 10:21
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The mistake of underestimating Sánchez

The PSOE is in a hurry. The socialists want to close an agreement as soon as possible with all the possible members of a hypothetical bloc of yes to the re-election of Pedro Sánchez and today they will get to work to build a majority for the investiture. They want to put an end to the noise and avoid the political tensions that generate very complicated negotiations that could end up suffocating, as happened to Alberto Núñez Feijóo, for whom the month of September has seemed very long before reaching his failed investiture. .

The countdown began yesterday and the deadline will end on November 27. Two months in which the acting president aspires to unite 179 seats, if he also ends up convincing the Canarian Coalition, something that is not ruled out in the PSOE.

They will not be easy weeks and this is recognized by the socialists themselves who know that it is a puzzle with many pieces to fit together. In front of them they will have the PP that is already bringing out its artillery to attack the hypothetical government that emerges from these negotiations. The popular ones assume that there will be no new elections, but they believe that the legislature may be short and offer Alberto Núñez Feijóo a new opportunity to reach Moncloa. They even have a new slogan to describe Sánchez's future executive if the pact comes to fruition: “government of lies.”

They leave behind the catchphrase of the “illegitimate government” with which they reviled the coalition executive in the previous legislature to launch a new slogan against the majority that may soon form in Congress.

In these months the big mistake of the media and political right in Madrid has been to underestimate Sánchez. They did it in the 23-J elections when they declared him dead early and perhaps they also do it by trusting that the internal tensions that may exist between the parties that support the PSOE in the investiture will end up breaking up the new Government. They even believed that the King would not end up designating him as a candidate for the investiture because he did not have enough votes, given the commotion that this decision caused on social networks.

However, the problems that Sánchez may encounter on the road to the investiture are not only on the right. The parties that are assumed to give him their support sell his vote more expensively every day. The list of the Three Wise Men does not stop growing. The socialists accept this and hope to satisfy a large part of these demands.

But Feijóo is right when he says that Sánchez's investiture has a bit of "theater." Some parties are over-staging the negotiations and this is not only a matter of ERC and Junts, mired in a tough competition for hegemony in Catalonia. Yolanda Díaz also does it when she maintains after meeting with the King that “they are still far from reaching an agreement” or Iñigo Urkullu himself who criticizes the PSOE for failing to comply with the transfer schedule that had been agreed with the PSOE. Sánchez needs the votes to secure the investiture, but also to strengthen the legislature. He will have to prove that he is more than just a risk-taking and lucky politician.