The Feijóo effect does not stop: the CIS places the PP less than two points behind the PSOE

The Feijóo effect does not stop.

Thomas Osborne
Thomas Osborne
19 May 2022 Thursday 04:30
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The Feijóo effect does not stop: the CIS places the PP less than two points behind the PSOE

The Feijóo effect does not stop. The PP is already only 1.6 percentage points behind the PSOE in estimated votes, according to the May barometer from the Center for Sociological Research (CIS) published this Thursday. The PSOE remains as last month in 30.3% of the votes, but the PP, which in February, in the midst of the party's crisis that caused the fall of Pablo Casado, stood at 21.3%, now reaches 28.7% in vote estimation, his record in the legislature in the series of surveys of the body directed by José Félix Tezanos. In three months Alberto Núñez Feijóo has managed to come back to 7.4 points.

In March, on the eve of formalizing the replacement of Feijóo by Casado, the CIS already scored a rise of two points to the first opposition party and in April, once elected president, the PP rose to 27.2%, its record until then from the legislature and only 3.1 points from the PSOE, which marked 30.3%, the same as in May.

But the May barometer, whose interviews were conducted in the midst of controversy over the espionage of politicians by the 'Pegasus' system, reveals that the right-wing bloc is reinforced with a substantial rise in Vox, while the right-wing bloc weakens. investiture for a new and significant drop in the expectations of United We Can.

Specifically, the party of Santiago Abascal rises 2.2 points compared to the April poll to also reach its maximum of the legislature, 16.6 in estimated votes, which also represents an improvement of 1.4 points compared to the results of the last general election. The big loser in the right-wing bloc continues to be Ciudadanos, whose decline is unstoppable. Those of Inés Arrimadas do not even reach 2% in April. The CIS does not give him more than a pyrrhic 1.8% in estimated votes, 5 points less than what the polls gave them in 2019.

In any case, the sum of PP and Vox already exceeds 45% of the votes, an estimate that could easily give this bloc a large majority to allow it to govern. A percentage that exceeds 47% (practically half of the electorate) if the oranges are added. In the last general elections this sum remained at 43.1%.

On the other hand, on the left side United We Can, which has not yet resolved the formula with which it will contest new elections, loses the floor of 10%. Waiting for the movements of their candidate in pectore at the head of a new space, Yolanda Díaz, the purple ones succumb up to 9.6% in estimated votes, 1.1 points less than in April and 3.4 points less than in the last elections.

In the case of the Más País/Compromís coalition, their expectations remain stable at 2.1%. With this, the sum of the three main forces of the left remains at 42% of the votes, 1.3 points below what they reached on 19-N.

The CIS survey does not show significant changes in the rest of the peripheral forces. Thus, ERC rises one tenth compared to April to stand at 2.5% while Junts remains at 1.2%. The same as the PNV, which remains at 1.3% and EH Bildu, which loses one tenth to stand at 1.1%.

In the evaluation of leaders, Yolanda Díaz continues to be the only leader who approves. The vice president, who is the best valued, has an average of 5.05 points. Feijóo remains in second position but if in April he achieved the pass in May he has remained with a score of 4.86 points.

President Sánchez, for his part, maintains that he is in third position with a 4.28. Íñigo Errejón, from Más País, also maintains his usual figures, with a slight decrease. On this occasion, an exact 4 marks his grade.

Inés Arrimadas presents a 3.58, a negative stamp only surpassed by Abascal and his 2.91, because although it generates complicity among its voters, it is clearly rejected by the majority of voters who opt for other political projects.


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