The leader of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, would win the general elections over the general secretary of the PSOE, Pedro Sánchez, with an advantage of 2.6 points in estimated votes if they were held today, according to the November barometer of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS ) released this Friday, when the acting President of the Government has already secured 179 votes to be sworn in next week, which will, in any case, avoid a repeat election in January.
The study, based on interviews carried out between November 2 and 5, with the amnesty at the center of the PSOE's negotiations with the pro-independence parties, places the PP with a vote estimate of 33.9%, a percentage that has never Previously, in the last legislature, the CIS had granted it to no other party, not even the PSOE.
Feijóo, who has maintained a very tough opposition to the amnesty and the agreement with the independentists, would benefit from this and would be rewarded with 1.7 points more than in the October barometer with better numbers even than those obtained on July 23 ( 33%).
In its barometer for the month of October, the center directed by the socialist José Félix Tezanos showed a technical tie between the PSOE and the PP, separated by four tenths, with the socialists at a vote estimate of 32.6% and the popular ones at 32.2%.
In November, the socialists would notice the erosion of the negotiations significantly with a loss of 1.3 points in vote estimates to 31.3% and would remain four tenths below the results obtained in the last elections.
The advantage that Sumar had as the third force over Vox in the previous barometer would also be reduced. In this way, the platform of the acting vice president, Yolanda Díaz, who was the first party to reach an agreement with the PSOE and has defended the amnesty from the beginning, would suffer a decline of 0.9 points in estimated vote to 11 .8%, half a point below the support obtained on 23-J.
However, this would not imply an improvement in the figures of the extreme right. Santiago Abascal's party continues to decline, in this case negligible (0.1 points), it would already obtain 10% of the votes, according to the CIS, 2.4 points less than in the July elections.
In the area of competition between the Catalan independence parties, things remain more or less as they were in the previous survey. Junts would only manage to reduce Esquerra's lead by 0.1 points, which would now remain at half a point in the estimated vote, which would indicate that Puigdemont's team would not make much of the privileged situation that the polls granted them on 23-J. In fact, the 1.4% of the vote that the CIS gives him is two tenths less than what was achieved in the elections.
On the other hand, the one who seems to clearly benefit from the support given to Sánchez from the beginning is EH Bildu, which takes a clear distance from its main rival, the PNV. The abertzales would obtain, according to the November barometer, 0.4 points more than in October, the same distance that separates them from the jeltzales, whose support for the PSOE has not been announced until today. The PNV, however, would gain one tenth and would be left with 0.9% support.
Sánchez continues to be the leader preferred by citizens to occupy the presidency of the Government but he is losing steam in this metric and goes from being preferred by 29.2% in October to preferred by 27% now. Feijóo, for his part, also loses support in this register and goes from 23.5% to 21.
