The president of the Generalitat Valenciana, Carlos Mazón, was satisfied yesterday with the results obtained by the partners of the Valencian coalition government of PP and Vox in the general elections last Sunday. “The change has been consolidated in just two months; We've come off pretty well." That quite a lot is very significant since with the numbers you can always see the bottle half full or half empty.
The translation of the results of 23-J to the autonomous scenario (with the nuances that this type of calculation requires), would allow the right to maintain the government of the Generalitat Valenciana. Of course, the PP would lose four seats and Vox -which in the state arena did surpass Sumar-Compromís, unlike what happened in the regional ones- would rise three deputies. In the global calculation, the block of the conservative investiture would leave one deputy and would drop to 52, two more than what the absolute majority in the Valencian Parliament marks.
Again, the popular ones would be the force with the most votes in the three provinces and would achieve 13 for Alicante, 14 for Valencia and 9 for Castellón. It would add 36 when less than two months ago they achieved the 40 that led them to the regional government with the help of the 13 Vox parliamentarians. However, the PPCV would only take one seat from the Socialists in each of the three provinces.
The PSPV would go (in this translation of the generals) to 33 deputies: 12 for Alicante, 13 for Valencia and 8 for Castellón, two more than it now has. On the contrary, Compromís to which the appointment of the generals has historically been difficult, would drop one despite unifying part of the vote of the parties to the left of the PSPV (Podem and Esquerra Unida).
Thus, with the results of Sunday night, the left would slightly improve the results of 28-M, although it would still be far from reversing the change of cycle that occurred in the regional and municipal elections and which allowed the right to seize practically all the institutional power in the Valencian Community.
Given the chronological proximity of the Valencian elections, it is interesting to make a comparison of the absolute vote of each party. Before, it is necessary to make a note; In the regional elections, participation was 67% and almost 2.5 million Valencians voted, while in the general elections, participation rose to almost 74% and 160,000 more people voted, so it is normal for the parties to all have more votes.
The problem is that not all grew the same. In fact, Vox (great fiasco at the state level) added almost 100,000 more votes than in the regional elections, although considerably less than in the last general elections of 2019. The PP also rose, but in a more moderate way, just 36,500 votes and was left with more than 80,000 of the dream figure of one million that would have given Nuñez Feijóo more options in the complicated process of achieving his inauguration.
In fact, the growth of the now government partners is the same as that achieved by the PSPV alone which, despite the great post-28-M depression, adds 137,000 more ballots and is going to its best historical data since the 2008 general elections. A breath of encouragement that, together with the possibility that Pedro Sánchez can maintain the Government, causes internal tensions to relax for the moment.
The Sumar-Compromís experiment deserves a special mention. If the 88,000 votes that Unides Podem obtained in May are counted, the new coalition that wanted to make Yolanda Díaz president drops almost 46,595 votes.
However, the fact that all the parties to the left of the PSPV go together allows all the votes obtained by the space (even if they are less than the sum of them separately) to count. On 28-M, the UP votes were left out as the formation led by Héctor Illueca did not reach the electoral barrier of 5%.
