For Kenins it is his first GS-final, while Muguruza after all, has tried it three times before. The kind of experience ought to have some significance, just look at Caroline Wozniacki, how it took her three attempts to win a GS title and Halep, as the use of the four finals to win his first.
Of the last 16 Grand Slam finals on damesiden was six, however, won by a debutant, so impossible it is not, and as Kenin took the edge off of the Ash Well in the semi-final, it can in no way be excluded that she also lowers Muguruza.
To defeat the local favorite and world number one in his first semi-final in a Grand Slam with a full stadium on the back of the neck shows a seriously strong set of nerves. She has met Garbine Muguruza once before, and it was on hard court in september in China, where Kenin won in three sets.
It was, however, a Muguruza on the way to the end of a thoroughly miserable season, and she is such a player, who, when she first finds the shape, can knock anyone, anytime and anywhere. The kind of form she has suddenly found in Melbourne. And, as I said; she has been in a GS-final three times in the past.
Six of the last 10 finals of the women's Australian Open went to three sets, just like his first meeting between these two ended in three sets, why a bet on the three sets or ”above” in the number of parties seems worthy of consideration. I find it too tempting to go with Kenin to tweak the match's first break.
Back in september, she won the first set with 6-0, and in both the quarter-, semi - and finale has she only been broken one time in each. Only to be broken once against the Well in the semi-final is therefore a strong case. Muguruza was broken three times in both the quarter - and semi-final.
Should we connect with to try to guess a winner? With the self-confidence from the semi-final and from the first meeting with Muguruza, we see the greatest value in betting on american Kenin to become the new Grand Slam-triumfator.