It's a math thing, and more and more Republicans are saying so. After winning the presidency in 2016, Donald Trump lost the lower house in the mid-term legislative elections in 2018; he lost his own elections against Joe Biden in 2020, and he just lost in the midterms last Tuesday when a large part of the candidates he sponsored failed and who, like him, based his strategy on denying the result of the previous ones presidential.
It is under this statistical tendency to defeat, and twenty-four hours after the notorious failure of his ally in Arizona, the failed candidate for governor Kari Lake, that Trump plans to make "the big announcement" tonight of his candidacy for the 2024 presidential elections. A danger to the future of the Republican Party, according to the trend described by the trajectory of the candidate.
It will be at nine at night on the US East Coast, three in the morning in Spain. Setting: the residence and private club of the Republican leader at Mar-a-Lago, in Palm Beach, Florida: the place where the FBI rescued on August 8 more than one hundred classified documents that the former president had taken from the White House and still hadn't returned.
Trump today persisted in his idea of running tonight, according to his closest aides, despite attempts by some of his advisers to convince him to wait at least until the end of the count of seats in the House of Representatives and the second round of the senatorial seat election still up for grabs in Georgia. The Democrats already secured control of the Upper House by the minimum when Catherine Cortez Masto, of Nevada, won the 50th seat of that body on Saturday. But one more position in the hands of the senator and candidate for re-election in the southern state, Raphael Warnock, would give Joe Biden and his team some slack in the voting.
Unless he backs out at the last minute, which would be unusual in his case, Trump's plan for tonight ignores the criticism that moderate Republicans and even former supporters of his have directed at him in recent days in view of the drop in candidates. endorsed by him as the aspiring governor of Pennsylvania, the ultra Doug Mastriano; the candidate for senator in the same state, Oz Mehmet; fellow Senate candidates from Arizona and Nevada, Blake Masters and Adam Laxalt, respectively; the Michigan gubernatorial hopeful; the aforementioned Kari Lake, who sounded like a possible number two on the former president's ticket for 2024...
In recent hours, the outgoing Governor of Maryland, Larry Hogan, and the former Governor of New Jersey, Chris Christie, both Republicans, agreed to flatly reject Trump's candidacy for the next presidential elections. And his young partner, Senator and former Missouri Attorney General Josh Hawley, went further, saying, "The Great Old Party is dead after this election. It's time to bury it and build something new."
