The race to replace Biden and Trump begins even though they do not want to leave

Half the Republican Party blames Donald Trump for the poor results of the formation in the mid-term legislative elections held on Tuesday in the United States with the surprising balance of a victory for the Democrats in the Senate and the forecast, still to be confirmed, of a pyrrhic Conservative victory in the House of Representatives.

Thomas Osborne
Thomas Osborne
14 November 2022 Monday 13:30
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The race to replace Biden and Trump begins even though they do not want to leave

Half the Republican Party blames Donald Trump for the poor results of the formation in the mid-term legislative elections held on Tuesday in the United States with the surprising balance of a victory for the Democrats in the Senate and the forecast, still to be confirmed, of a pyrrhic Conservative victory in the House of Representatives.

In addition, Trump can be charged at any time for one or more of the numerous crimes that are already attributed to him for the concealment of secret documents, the attempt to falsify the results of the 2020 elections, the assault on the Capitol on January 6, 2021 , or fraud on your business accounts. Consequence: we have to look for alternatives to his candidacy for the 2024 presidential elections, which he intends to launch this Tuesday with disregard for all of the above and what colleagues and advisers tell him.

President Joe Biden will turn 80 on November 20. This counts, as much as he looks "in top shape" to continue in office. And while his party's midterms have fared much better than expected, an exit poll indicated 67% of voters don't want him to run for re-election. Which squares with his poor approval ratings in the last year, consistently below 50%.

Conclusion: we must look for alternatives to Biden's possible candidacy for the 2024 presidential elections, on which he has announced that he will make a decision at the beginning of next year. Although he insists on running for re-election, the biological factor and political attrition weigh too heavily to think that the different Democratic families unanimously accept that he is the only suitable candidate.

In the Republican field, the undisputed number one on the list to replace Trump is the governor of Florida, Ron DeSantis, whom the former president baptized as Ron de Sanctimonious, that is, Ron the meapilas, days before he was re-elected in office. almost 20 points ahead of Democrat Charlie Crist.

Another eventual conservative candidate is former Vice President Mike Pence, who made statements to the ABC network on Monday in which he said that the messages released by the then acting president on the day of the assault on the Capitol, on January 6, 2021 , "they put in danger my life, the life of my family and the life of everyone who was in the Capitol building."

Pence was especially affected by the "reckless" tweet in which, that day, Trump accused him before the mob of "not having the courage to do what he should have done", alluding to his rejection of the president's pressure to to suspend the certification of the results of the presidential elections.

Another possible conservative candidate with options is the governor of Virginia for a year, Glenn Youngkin, who with his winning campaign based on the rights of parents in the education of their children dazzled a good part of his peers. Trump, however, attacked Youngkin a few days ago with ridicule about his last name, which "sounds Chinese," he said.

Worse placed on the Republican bench for the 2024 party are, among others whom the media and some party strategists have been citing these days, the vice president of the 6-E investigative committee, Liz Cheney, the Texan senator and ultra Ted Cruz , or the moderate outgoing governor of Maryland, Larry Hogan, very critical of Trump these days for his negative role, he says, in the recent elections.

As for the names that are being considered for a successor to Biden, the most obvious is that of Vice President Kamala Harris. But her low approval ratings and the low profile that she maintains in her government place her behind other hypothetical candidates at the moment. Among them stand out the governor of California and prominent figure of the party, Gavin Newsom, and the Secretary of Transportation, Pete Buttigieg, who came third in the 2020 primaries -behind Biden and Bernie Sanders- but left a very good impression among the Democratic bases. Also increasingly cited is newly re-elected Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer, who outscored her Republican opponent Tudor Dixon by more than 10 points.

There are two years left for the next presidential elections. But the US parties, political advisers and media do not seem willing to waste a minute to expose their preferences for that race. Trump and Biden may insist on competing again, but there are not a few who, close to them, think that their time has passed, or almost.