The PP could govern alone in Andalusia, according to a survey

The priority objective of Juanma Moreno, president of the Andalusian Government and PP candidate for re-election, is to win the elections on June 19 with a sufficient majority so as not to have to totally depend on Vox to govern, knowing that the absolute majority , a priori, is not to play.

Thomas Osborne
Thomas Osborne
30 May 2022 Monday 00:34
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The PP could govern alone in Andalusia, according to a survey

The priority objective of Juanma Moreno, president of the Andalusian Government and PP candidate for re-election, is to win the elections on June 19 with a sufficient majority so as not to have to totally depend on Vox to govern, knowing that the absolute majority , a priori, is not to play. One thing is to have Macarena Olona as vice president of the Board and another is to have a Minister of Agriculture, they argue from the Andalusian PP.

Well, a 40dB poll for El País and La Ser published this Monday and another by Sigma Dos for El Mundo published on Sunday consider Moreno's objective fulfilled and would grant the PP more deputies than the entire left together. A scenario that would allow Moreno to govern alone if he obtained the abstention of Vox and its candidate Macarena Olona, ​​as is the case in Madrid with Isabel Díaz Ayuso.

However, it does not seem that Vox is willing to do so. Its president, Santiago Abascal, yesterday warned the popular candidate to "forget" to govern "calmly alone" and remarked that the votes for his party will "only serve" to put his candidate, Macarena Olona, ​​"in front" of the Presidency or "deciding what the policies are" of the Andalusian government. "If the PP has more seats than the left and needs the seats of Vox, do not think that you are going to get them for free or that you are going to get an abstention," concluded Abascal, who "ended" that "debate."

According to the 40dB poll, carried out between May 18 and 23, the PP could achieve a clear victory that would allow it to govern alone without the support of Vox by adding more deputies than the entire left combined. The popular ones would obtain 48 seats, 22 more than now, up to 36.5 percent of the votes.

The PSOE would hardly match its results four years ago, when it obtained 33 deputies, and the groups further to the left would pay for its division. The entire left would add 45 seats to the best result, since to the 33 for the Socialists would be added between 7 and 8 for Por Andalucía and between 3 and 4 for Adelante Andalucía.

Three deputies less than the PP, which in this way would not need the 18 that Vox would obtain (6 more than in 2018) to govern by majority.

Ciudadanos, which currently governs in coalition with the PP, would disappear from the regional chamber by losing the 21 deputies it obtained four years ago.

Another poll carried out by Sigma Dos for the newspaper El Mundo and published on Sunday gives similar results and gives Moreno 36.1 percent of the votes, which would give him between 46 and 50 seats, that is, 20 or 24 more than in the 2018 elections.

The Socialists, for their part, would obtain 30-32 seats, with an estimated vote of 25.4 percent, a worse result than four years ago (33 deputies and 28% of the vote), and Vox, with 15, 1%, would consolidate itself as the third political force, achieving between 16 and 17 seats, 4 or 5 more than in the last elections.

The left-wing coalition Por Andalucía would achieve 10.5% of the votes, which would give it between 8 and 10 seats, while the decline of Ciudadanos would be confirmed, which would go from its current 21 seats to between two and three, with a percentage of 4 9%. Adelante Andalucía, led by Teresa Rodríguez, would get 4.8% of the votes and two deputies.