The macro-survey on trends in regional voting from the CIS points out that the Botanic (the government made up of PSPV, Compromís and Unides Podem) could be re-edited if regional elections are speeded up tomorrow.
The CIS qualifies that the estimates presented "are not in any way a prediction of results" and that they must "obviously be understood as a diagnosis and approximate measurement of the potential electoral support that the different political formations had at the time these surveys were carried out ( end of November and beginning of December 2022)".
All in all, this approximate measurement (with extremely wide forks) seems to indicate that the left-wing bloc would be ahead of the sum of the three right-wings (PP, Ciudadanos and Vox). The Botànic would move between 40 and 63 seats, while the opposition would be between 35 and 60 deputies, with the firm doubt that Ciudadanos will obtain representation in Les Corts Valencianes.
In fact, the Socialists would be the force with the most votes, narrowly surpassing the PP, while the Compromís fork would surpass Vox. Unides Podem seems to guarantee its presence in the regional Parliament, unlike Ciudadanos.
The CIS study in the Valencian Community has been carried out through 994 surveys carried out between November 17 and December 2, 2022 and has a margin of error of 3.2%.
Beyond the estimate of the vote, some questions from the CIS that add the intention to vote plus the sympathy for the different parties reveal that, despite the fact that the distance has been cut, the Socialists would continue to be the force with the most votes with 24.3 % of votes. The PPCV would be on his heels with only 1.4 points and would be with 22.9% of the votes.
The candidacy that Carlos Mazón will lead takes advantage of the collapse of Ciudadanos, which with 2.5% will hardly overcome the electoral barrier of 5%. Vox would remain at 7.4% while Compromís would be above the extreme right (9.3%), shielding together with 5.6% of Unides Podem the reissue of the left-wing government.
