The Democrats can retain the Senate, but they have many numbers to give up the majority in the House of Representatives, according to the advance results of the mid-term legislative elections held on Tuesday in the United States. The victory of Democrat John Fetterman in Pennsylvania, who declared his victory on Twitter after obtaining 49.4% of the vote compared to 48.1% for his rival, the television doctor Mehmet Oz, with 90% of the vote already scrutinized, it can be decisive in the fight for the Upper House.
The Republicans caress, for their part, the victory in the House of Representatives, with 193 seats against the 161 of the Democrats, despite the fact that there are still a few hours left to consider the battle won. Among the most significant victories is that of Ron DeSantis in Florida, a state that has revealed his strength as a bastion of the Republican right. However, this result has a double reading. It shows the strength of the "reds", but propels DeSantis as Donald Trump's most direct rival in a possible primary for the presidential candidacy in 2024.
In Ohio, J.D. Vance, a man sponsored by Donald Trump, has prevailed in the Senate. Vance, a financier and writer known for his novel Hillbilly, a rural elegy, has gone from being a critic of the former president (he called him Hitler in 2016) to being part of his core of followers. Currently, in the Upper House, the Democrats hold 48 seats compared to 47 for the Republicans.
The probable victory of the Republicans in the House of Representatives will change the profile of the Joe Biden legislature in the next two years. He will have a hard time getting his policies passed. And it is more than likely that the new majority will initiate a battery of lawsuits and investigations that will make the mandate rarer. The most important of them, the one that affects the president's son, Hunter Biden, a lawyer and consultant who is controversial for his activities in Ukraine.
The result supposes, therefore, an amendment to the figure of the president, who has not been able to communicate well the reforms he has undertaken and who is criticized for the high inflation of recent months and the rise in crime.
However, if the Senate remains in the hands of the Democrats (who now retain a minimal 50/50 minority reinforced by the quality vote of their president, Kamala Harris), the predicted "red wave" would not have been such. The result would fit with the normal alternation of mid-term elections, in which most of the time the party that occupies the White House loses the majority.
