Juanma Moreno's PP would continue to garner more support among Andalusians and would increase the absolute majority achieved in the 19-J elections by two seats, going from occupying 58 to 60 seats in the Andalusian Parliament. This is indicated by the first survey carried out on voting intention by the Center for Andalusian Studies, Centra, which also announces the loss of support among PSOE and Vox voters but an increase in followers of Por Andalucía.
The Socialists would still not come back in the region and would subtract 2-3 seats from the 30 they currently have. For its part, the extreme right-wing party would continue to be the third political force despite the fact that it would lose 4 seats, keeping 10 representatives and equaling the result that the confluence of the left would obtain. This would be the force that would experience the greatest support and would go on to double the number of deputies in the Chamber, where it would have 10-11 deputies.
This study, carried out in September and coinciding with the announcement of the new tax cut by the Executive, reflects that the party led by Juanma Moreno would reap 45.5 percent of support, which is 2.4 points more than in the elections of June, and that would bring him between 58 seats (those he has now) and 60. On the other hand, more than half of those surveyed (58.9%) approve of the management carried out by the popular leader and describe it as very good (13%) or good (45.9), data that contrasts with the opinion of those surveyed about the management of the president of the central government, Pedro Sánchez, where 57.7% value it as bad or very bad.
As for the PSOE-A, according to the Andalusian CIS, it would lose three points in percentage of votes, with 21.1%; Vox would leave almost two points (11.5%); For Andalusia, it would equal that formation, rising almost four points (11.4%); and Adelante Andalucía would remain practically the same with 4.9% of the votes, which would mean between 1 and 2 deputies. Cs would continue to lose support and would not obtain parliamentary representation. Abstention would grow by 5.2 points, reaching 46.8 percent.
On the other hand, from the 3,500 surveys carried out, it is found that the majority of Andalusians are in the central strip in terms of political ideology and, regarding which party arouses more sympathy and is closer to ideas, they choose the PP (27.4 %), followed by the PSOE (18.6%).
The Andalusian Public Opinion Barometer of the Centra Foundation also questions the subjects about another topical issue: the request for pardon of José Antonio Griñán, former president of the Government of Andalusia, sentenced by the political piece of the ERE to six years in prison for a crime of embezzlement of public funds. In this sense, the report shows that 71% of those surveyed are against the central government approving this measure of grace for the former leader, while the remaining 13% are in favor. The rest, 7.6% are indifferent to the future of the former leader of San Telmo and 7.7 do not know or do not answer.
Similar results are obtained when asking about the rest of the convicts who have opted for pardon to avoid going to prison. 76.1% are against compared to 8.8% who are in favor.
